St. Mary's (Cal.)
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
844  Cristina Garcia SO 21:23
1,581  Carina Novell FR 22:12
1,662  Katie Alioto FR 22:17
1,845  Alicia Doohan JR 22:28
2,067  Erin Burke SR 22:43
2,127  Taylor Khan FR 22:47
2,191  Tiffany Monsalud FR 22:52
2,567  Alyssa Horning FR 23:20
2,880  Emma Kroloff SO 23:47
3,197  Elizandra Obando SR 24:28
National Rank #209 of 339
West Region Rank #30 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 30th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Cristina Garcia Carina Novell Katie Alioto Alicia Doohan Erin Burke Taylor Khan Tiffany Monsalud Alyssa Horning Emma Kroloff Elizandra Obando
Stanford Invitational 09/29 1245 21:19 21:58 22:28 22:24 22:38 22:47 22:59 22:55
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/13 1231 21:13 21:49 22:08 22:03 22:44 22:07 22:49 23:21 23:42 24:27
WCC Championships 10/27 1282 21:50 22:39 22:39 22:43 22:49 22:48 22:48 23:22 23:51
West Region Championships 11/09 1248 21:19 22:22 21:51 22:37 22:42 23:33 23:41





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 29.5 877 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.2 3.2 5.3 8.9 15.5 32.8 20.8



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cristina Garcia 119.3
Carina Novell 177.9
Katie Alioto 183.6
Alicia Doohan 195.5
Erin Burke 209.0
Taylor Khan 212.8
Tiffany Monsalud 216.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 0.1% 0.1 21
22 0.2% 0.2 22
23 0.7% 0.7 23
24 1.4% 1.4 24
25 2.2% 2.2 25
26 3.2% 3.2 26
27 5.3% 5.3 27
28 8.9% 8.9 28
29 15.5% 15.5 29
30 32.8% 32.8 30
31 20.8% 20.8 31
32 8.3% 8.3 32
33 0.5% 0.5 33
34 0.0% 0.0 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0